Bitcoin price on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's noon ET price on 13 June 2026 will be determined by the closing price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at that specific timestamp. The market resolves to "No" if data is unavailable, and ties between price brackets favour the higher range. Current crowd probability sits at 0%, suggesting either extreme confidence in a particular outcome or minimal trading activity at present.

Historical Bitcoin price prediction markets show that 0% implied probability often reflects either insufficient liquidity or a consensus view so strong that traders see no value in opposing positions. Comparable markets tracking intraday Bitcoin prices on major exchanges have typically seen probability shifts driven by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or significant regulatory developments rather than day-to-day volatility. The six-month settlement window provides ample time for catalysts to reshape expectations, though intraday noon prices tend to cluster around daily open-close ranges rather than extreme moves absent major news.

Traders monitoring this market should track scheduled central bank communications, US CFTC regulatory announcements, and any material shifts in institutional Bitcoin custody or spot exchange-traded fund flows. Recent Bitcoin price action has remained sensitive to inflation data releases and interest rate expectations. From a market-access perspective, UK-based traders should note that prediction markets with settlement under £1,500 notional value may fall outside certain KYC thresholds under the Gambling Commission framework, though polymarket-kyc.co.uk maintains its own compliance standards. German traders face GlüStV licensing considerations for any platform offering price-settlement derivatives, regardless of bracket size.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket KYC UK?

Zero. Polymarket KYC UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.