Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket KYC UK Pick polygram.ink |
67% | 33% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
67% | 33% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket KYC UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 67% Team Falcons | 33% Monte |
| Map 2 Winner | 74% Team Falcons | 27% Monte |
| Match Winner | 78% Team Falcons | 23% Monte |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 43% Over | 57% Under |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) | 50% Team Falcons | 51% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% Over | 53% Under |
Market context
Team Falcons and Monte will compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 13 June 2026, with settlement tied to the 7:30 AM ET fixture. The match forms part of ESL's flagship annual tournament, which rotates between European and North American venues. IEM Cologne 2026 represents the third iteration of the event under the current franchise-based partnership model, where qualification and seeding determine bracket placement across multiple stages.
The 67% implied probability favouring Team Falcons reflects their recent form trajectory and head-to-head record against Monte, though comparable Stage 3 matches at prior IEM events show volatility when lower-seeded teams face established rosters. Monte's performance in qualifying rounds and any roster changes announced before 13 June will materially shift expectations; ESL typically publishes final team confirmations and bracket details five to seven days before stage commencement. Weather, venue infrastructure, or broadcast scheduling delays—common friction points at European LAN events—could trigger the 7-day extension clause, though such occurrences remain statistically rare at ESL-operated tournaments.
Under German GlüStV regulations, this market operates within the licensed prediction market framework applicable at polymarket-kyc.co.uk. US CFTC reach extends to US-domiciled traders; the platform's no-KYC threshold of $1,500 cumulative exposure applies per calendar year, meaning traders exceeding that limit must complete identity verification regardless of residency. Settlement occurs at 17:30 UTC on 13 June, with tie or cancellation scenarios resolving to 50-50 per the stated terms.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket KYC UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket KYC UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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