Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
NRG and MOUZ are due to meet in a best-of-three at the CS Asia Championships Group A lower bracket quarter-final, originally set for 20 May at 11:00pm ET. The current 0% YES screen is not a read-through on match quality so much as a sign that the market has not yet re-priced the fixture after scheduling uncertainty. For context, MOUZ were already expected to be the stronger side: they have a broader recent LAN record and, according to recent betting previews, had also beaten NRG 2-0 earlier in the season, which matters in a BO3 where map vetoes can narrow the upset path.
For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the organiser confirms the fixture is still live, whether the match starts within the settlement window, and whether either roster is changed by illness, travel or disqualification. Recent listings from Kalshi and Polymarket both treated the game as a live event rather than a dead market, while HLTV-linked scheduling references indicate the original slot has already shifted once. If the match is not played, ends level, or slips more than seven days beyond the scheduled date, resolution can fall to 50-50 rather than either team.
Accessibility also depends on venue and compliance. In Germany, esports-style prediction markets can raise GlüStV issues because the treaty regulates games of chance and may restrict local participation or marketing depending on structure and operator status. In the US, CFTC reach is relevant where a venue is interpreted as offering event contracts to US persons, even if the underlying event is overseas. By contrast, a “no-KYC up to $1,500” policy usually means small withdrawals or cumulative activity can be handled with only basic account checks, which lowers friction for casual access but does not remove jurisdictional limits or the need to verify identity once thresholds are exceeded.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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