Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (BO5) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Dota 2 Grand Final between GamerLegion and 4 Anchors and Ilmeria in The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, originally set for 7:00 PM ET on 26 June. Historical precedents from the same qualifier show GamerLegion defeated 4 Anchors and Ilmeria 2–0 in their earlier Best of 3 encounter on 24 June, securing 94.2% of public votes in that match [2][3][7]. This prior dominance, combined with GamerLegion’s current #15 world ranking and four wins in their last five matches, frames the 100% crowd-implied probability as a reflection of established form rather than speculative hype [2].

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any schedule shifts or cancellation notices, though the match outcome appears settled given the prior result [1]. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms the 2–0 victory for GamerLegion, reinforcing the likelihood of a repeat outcome in the Grand Final [2]. Regulatory catalysts include German GlüStV implications for prediction markets, US CFTC reach over cross-border trading, and the ‘no-KYC up to $1,500’ threshold, which permits immediate access for UK and EU participants without identity verification, enhancing liquidity for this specific market [1]. These factors collectively support the market’s accessibility and settlement certainty.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket KYC UK?

Zero. Polymarket KYC UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket KYC UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.