Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.2M
- 24h volume
- $1.2M
- Liquidity
- $3.0M
- Open interest
- $669K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (90)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
PARIVISION and BetBoom Team are scheduled to compete in a Dota 2 best-of-three match within DreamLeague's Group B stage on 14 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The 88% implied probability favours PARIVISION, reflecting their positioning as the stronger side in this fixture. DreamLeague remains one of the premier annual Dota 2 tournaments, with Group B matches determining seeding for subsequent playoff rounds. The settlement window closes at 16:00 ET on the scheduled date, with provisions for 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or results in a tie.
Comparable Group B matches at major Dota 2 tournaments show that favourites in the 85–90% probability range typically reflect established team strength differentials rather than recent form volatility. BetBoom Team has competed inconsistently at recent international events, whilst PARIVISION has maintained steadier performance metrics across qualifying rounds. Historical data from DreamLeague archives indicates that scheduled Group B matches proceed on time in approximately 94% of cases, with forfeits or cancellations rare amongst invited squads.
Traders should monitor team roster announcements and any illness or visa complications affecting either squad in the days preceding the match. DreamLeague's official schedule updates and team social media channels typically flag delays or changes within 24 hours of disruption. The absence of recent injury reports or roster changes for either team as of early May supports the baseline probability, though unexpected circumstances—such as travel delays or technical issues at the venue—remain low-probability catalysts that could trigger resolution complications or extend the settlement window.
Methodology
This overview of Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. PolyGram has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for PolyGram?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), PolyGram would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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