Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket KYC UK Pick polygram.ink |
45% | 55% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
45% | 55% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket KYC UK.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 45% Power Rangers | 55% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 90% Over | 10% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 90% Power Rangers | 10% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% TEAM VISION |
Market context
The underlying event is the Upper Bracket quarterfinal 4 match in The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where Power Rangers face TEAM VISION in a Best-of-3 series scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET on 24 June. The market currently implies an 84% probability that Power Rangers will win, despite external betting data positioning them as the outsider with odds of 11.043 and a 92% implied chance for TEAM VISION[1].
Historical precedents in regional qualifiers show that crowd-implied probabilities often diverge significantly from actual win rates when one team has zero recent active wins, as TEAM VISION currently holds[1]. Comparable cases from the TI15 Regional Qualifiers indicate that teams with no active wins frequently underperform against outsiders who have recently secured series victories, such as Power Rangers’ 2–1 win against Hooligani[3]. This divergence suggests the 84% YES probability may reflect liquidity bias rather than form, a pattern seen when new markets lack deep historical data.
Traders should monitor the official match start time on Sofascore, which lists the game for 17:10 UTC, and watch for any stream delays on Twitch.tv where the broadcast is hosted[2]. Recent tournament updates confirm both teams have defeated Roshan and destroyed barracks in prior games, a dependency that could influence the series outcome if one team fails to replicate this performance[4]. No further announcements are expected before the settlement window closes on 24 June 23:10 UTC.
Regarding accessibility, German GlüStV regulations and US CFTC reach create a complex framework for unregulated prediction markets, though platforms offering “no-KYC up to $1,500” allow users to bypass identity verification for smaller stakes. This specific market remains accessible to users under this threshold, provided they comply with local tax obligations and KYC requirements for larger withdrawals. The market resolves to Power Rangers if they win, TEAM VISION if they win, and 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The Int… on Polymarket KYC UK
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