Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.8M
- 24h volume
- $1K
- Liquidity
- $2
- Open interest
- $15K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (25)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA will compete in the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs on 12 May 2026, with the match scheduled for 6:00 AM ET. The winner advances directly to the final bracket stage of Korea's regional qualifier for the international Esports World Cup tournament. Both organisations field rosters from the LCK ecosystem, where competitive League of Legends remains institutionally established with consistent sponsorship and broadcast infrastructure.
The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal market liquidity or genuine uncertainty about match execution rather than predictive consensus. Historical League esports matches in Korean qualifiers have proceeded as scheduled with rare cancellations; however, fixture delays due to player illness, technical issues, or administrative scheduling conflicts have occurred within the LCK system. Comparable upper-bracket semifinal matches in regional qualifiers typically feature competitive parity when both teams have qualified through earlier rounds, making binary outcomes difficult to forecast without recent team performance data or roster changes.
Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup announcements and LCK broadcast schedules for any rescheduling notices, player roster confirmations, or tournament format changes in the weeks preceding 12 May. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on the scheduled date; matches delayed beyond seven days without determination trigger 50-50 resolution. Under German GlüStV regulations, esports prediction markets remain unregulated if structured as non-wagering information contracts, whilst US CFTC oversight applies only to derivatives contracts with financial settlement. No-KYC accessibility up to $1,500 USD typically applies to prediction markets operating outside regulated betting jurisdictions, though individual platform policies vary.
Wikipedia Context
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Lolianwali
Lolianwala is a village of Mandi Bahauddin District in the Punjab province of Pakistan. It is located at 32°40'0N 73°34'0E at an altitude of 224 meters. Its name has been changed as "Kot Noor Shah" with reference of shrine of Syed Noor Hussain Shah.
Methodology
This overview of LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lONqhHZW5mk. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for PolyGram?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. PolyGram exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
Trade LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esport… on PolyGram
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