Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket KYC UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket KYC UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% EDward Gaming | 100% FUT Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% EDward Gaming | 0% FUT Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% EDward Gaming | 0% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 0% FUT Esports | 100% EDward Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% FUT Esports | 0% EDward Gaming |
Market context
EDward Gaming and FUT Esports are scheduled to compete in the upper bracket quarterfinal of the VCT Masters London Playoffs on 13 June 2024 at 10:00 AM ET. The match is a best-of-three format within Valorant's international competitive circuit. EDward Gaming, based in Kazakhstan, has competed in regional qualifiers and international events; FUT Esports, a Brazilian organisation, similarly participates in the Americas regional ecosystem. The outcome determines progression in the tournament bracket.
Prediction markets on esports matches typically reflect team form, recent head-to-head records, and roster stability. EDward Gaming and FUT Esports have limited direct matchup history at this tier of competition, which historically creates wider probability ranges than established rivalries. The 0% implied probability currently displayed suggests either extreme confidence in one outcome or insufficient liquidity and trading activity to establish a meaningful market price. Comparable VCT matches at similar stages have resolved within scheduled windows without significant delays, though technical issues or unforeseen circumstances occasionally extend timelines.
Traders monitoring this market should track official VCT scheduling announcements and any roster changes announced before 13 June. Venue confirmations, player availability statements, and broadcast schedules from Riot Games' official channels serve as primary catalysts. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on 13 June, allowing a ten-hour buffer beyond the scheduled match start. Under German GlüStV regulations, esports prediction markets fall under gaming supervision; US CFTC oversight applies to derivatives-like instruments depending on contract structure. No-KYC access up to $1,500 USD on this market means traders can participate without identity verification below that threshold, though platform terms and jurisdiction-specific restrictions remain operative.
Methodology
We track Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket KYC UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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