# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast’s next main-channel upload will be measured by its first 7 days’ view count, with settlement tied to the public YouTube counter on the channel. The current 0% YES reading is best read as a pricing oddity rather than a literal forecast: similar MrBeast view markets have previously clustered around the 30–40 million day-one range on major prediction venues, reflecting his unusually reliable launch scale. Week-one totals are typically multiples of day-one figures, but they still depend on whether the upload is a standard challenge format, a sequel to a proven concept, or a less algorithm-friendly special.

For trading context, the main variables are release timing and format. MrBeast’s channel has recently continued to post large-scale challenge videos that can clear tens of millions of views within days; his latest uploads on YouTube show that the channel still has broad reach and consistent momentum. The key catalyst is simply the next upload announcement and whether it arrives before 30 June 2026, since no upload by then forces resolution to the lowest bracket. On the legal side, accessibility can depend on jurisdiction: German users should note GlüStV constraints on gambling-style products, US residents face the broader reach of CFTC scrutiny around event contracts, and “no-KYC up to $1,500” means smaller positions may be available without identity checks, but only up to that threshold and subject to platform and local rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.