Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket KYC UK Pick polygram.ink |
5% | 95% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
5% | 95% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket KYC UK.
Active sub-markets
| Tommy Fleetwood | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Rico Hoey | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Mac Meissner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Matt Wallace | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Taylor Moore | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Austin Smotherman | 12% YES | 88% NO |
Market context
The 2026 RBC Canadian Open will be contested in June at a venue yet to be confirmed by the PGA Tour, with the tournament traditionally rotating amongst Canadian courses. The listed player's probability of 5% reflects either a narrow field of favourites or significant uncertainty around field composition at the time of market creation. Historical RBC Canadian Open winners have included major champions and mid-tier tour regulars; the tournament's prestige sits below majors but above most regular PGA Tour events, creating volatility in betting markets where specialist knowledge of Canadian course conditions and player form proves decisive.
Comparable prediction markets on PGA Tour events show that probabilities below 10% typically correspond to players ranked outside the top 20 in world rankings or those with poor recent form. The settlement window closing in June 2026 allows approximately eighteen months for injury, form fluctuations, and tour status changes to materialise. Traders should monitor PGA Tour schedule announcements, field confirmations released typically four to six weeks before tournament play, and any changes to the listed player's tour eligibility or injury status through official PGA Tour communications.
From a regulatory standpoint, this market operates under differing frameworks depending on trader jurisdiction. UK-based traders face no specific KYC requirements for positions under £1,500, though polymarket-kyc.co.uk maintains compliance with Gambling Commission standards. German traders should note GlüStV restrictions on sports prediction markets; US traders fall within CFTC oversight for certain derivative positions, though prediction markets on sporting outcomes occupy a grey area pending clarification. Settlement follows official PGA Tour records as the binding authority.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $420K.
Methodology
This page reviews PGA Tour: RBC Canadian Open Winner across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket KYC UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket KYC UK?
- Zero. Polymarket KYC UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade PGA Tour: RBC Canadian Open Winner on Polymarket KYC UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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