Market statistics
- Total volume
- $145K
- 24h volume
- $145K
- Open interest
- $89K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (10)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Miguel Damas and Damir Dzumhur are scheduled to compete in a tennis match at Prostejov on 1 June 2026. Damas, a Portuguese player, and Dzumhur, a Bosnian-Herzegovinian competitor, will contest a singles fixture at this Czech venue. The market resolves on 8 June 2026, allowing a one-week window for match completion. Should the match not occur, be cancelled, or extend beyond seven days without a result, the market settles at 50-50. A retirement or disqualification during play triggers advancement for the opponent.
The 0% implied probability for Damas reflects limited historical data on direct matchups between these players at this tier of competition. Comparable lower-ranked ATP or Challenger-level fixtures typically show wide probability ranges when head-to-head records are sparse or absent. Recent Prostejov tournaments have hosted qualifying and main-draw matches with variable attendance and scheduling adherence; weather delays and player withdrawals are documented factors at this venue during early June.
Traders should monitor official ATP or Challenger tour announcements regarding draw confirmation and any schedule adjustments in the week preceding the match. Injury reports or late withdrawals from either player would trigger immediate market movement. For accessibility, markets under €1,500 notional value fall outside German GlüStV licensing requirements in certain jurisdictions, whilst US CFTC reach applies only to derivatives contracts with US persons. No-KYC thresholds at €1,500 mean smaller positions may avoid identity verification in some regulated environments, though this varies by platform and operator jurisdiction.
Methodology
This overview of Prostejov: Miguel Damas vs Damir Dzumhur reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. PolyGram has a different geo footprint.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. PolyGram stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), PolyGram would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
Trade Prostejov: Miguel Damas vs Damir Dzumhur on PolyGram
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