Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
68% | 32% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
68% | 32% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Coritiba FBC (-1.5) | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| EC Bahia (-1.5) | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Coritiba FBC (-2.5) | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| EC Bahia (-2.5) | 2% YES | 99% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Coritiba Football Club and EC Bahia will contest a Série A fixture on 25 May 2026 at 19:00 ET. The 7% implied probability for additional markets reflects low trader confidence that supplementary betting options will be offered on this particular match, despite Brazil's top division regularly attracting secondary market creation. Historical precedent suggests that mid-table clashes between Coritiba and Bahia—neither consistent title contenders nor perennial relegation threats—generate fewer derivative markets than fixtures involving São Paulo, Flamengo, or Palmeiras. The current probability aligns with patterns observed in comparable lower-profile Série A encounters, where primary match-outcome markets dominate whilst total-goals, corner, or player-performance derivatives remain sparse.
Regulatory frameworks governing this market's accessibility vary materially by jurisdiction. Under Germany's GlüStV (Glücksspielstaatsvertrag), prediction markets on sports events face stricter licensing requirements than traditional betting, affecting European trader participation. The US CFTC's reach extends to derivatives on sports outcomes if marketed to American residents, though prediction markets occupy a grey zone distinct from regulated futures. The no-KYC threshold of $1,500 USD on certain platforms permits retail engagement without identity verification up to that stake level, lowering barriers for casual traders but creating compliance complexity for operators managing cross-border flows. Traders should monitor whether Coritiba or Bahia announce squad rotation, injury updates, or fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 25 May, as such developments historically correlate with market-creation decisions by liquidity providers seeking differentiated betting angles.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $178K.
Methodology
This page reviews Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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