Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Gujarat Titans and Chennai Super Kings are due to meet in the Indian Premier League on 21 May 2026, with the market settling on the official result published by ESPNcricinfo. The 75% YES price implies a clear but not overwhelming favourite, which is consistent with a fixture where either side can dominate depending on toss, pitch and batting depth. Recent comparable meetings have not been one-sided: one published 2026 result has GT beating CSK by eight wickets in Chennai after Sai Sudharsan’s 87, while another scorecard shows GT winning by five wickets with Rashid Khan named player of the match. That sort of split in recent outcomes argues against treating the current price as a lock, especially if line-ups are shuffled late in the league stage.

For traders, the key catalysts are the toss, any late team-sheet changes, and whether either side is managing workload or niggles in a compressed schedule. ESPNcricinfo’s final scorecard will govern settlement, so abandoned play, DLS adjustments and any on-field tiebreak all matter only insofar as they produce a declared winner under the match conditions. From a market-access angle, this sits in the usual cross-border prediction-market grey zone: German users can face GlüStV restrictions on online gaming-style products, the US CFTC can assert reach where a market is treated as a commodity derivative, and “no-KYC up to $1,500” generally means lighter identity checks only until cumulative activity or withdrawals cross that threshold, after which verification is typically required.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.