Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
BetBoom Team are scheduled to meet Natus Vincere in a best-of-three at IEM Atlanta, but the market is already marked at 0% YES, so traders should first check whether it has effectively become a settlement question rather than a live price. On form and ranking, NaVi entered the playoff match as the stronger side, sitting around world No. 2 while BetBoom were in the low twenties, which explains why previews and odds leaned towards Natus Vincere. Comparable CS2 playoff markets typically resolve on roster strength, veto quality, and whether the underdog can force a third map; BetBoom’s recent upsets and map wins mean they were not a dead ticket, but NaVi’s deeper LAN pedigree made them the more likely winner in comparable cases.
For accessibility and regulation, the important point is that Polymarket-style access can vary by jurisdiction. In Germany, GlüStV issues matter because unauthorised sports and event wagering can be treated as regulated gambling activity, so availability is not just a question of market price. In the US, the CFTC’s reach is relevant because event contracts can attract enforcement scrutiny where they are viewed as derivatives on outcomes. “No-KYC up to $1,500” means a user may be able to trade below that threshold without identity verification, but it does not remove geo-blocking, legal restrictions, or the platform’s own compliance controls for this specific match market.
The main catalysts are simple: confirmation that the semifinal was played, whether it was completed within the settlement window, and whether any administrative delay pushed it beyond seven days from the scheduled date. ESL’s IEM Atlanta coverage and replay listings are the best check on whether the fixture went ahead, while Dust2.us and the event page are useful for rank context and schedule changes. If the match was abandoned, delayed, or never started, that matters more than the pre-match favourite, because the market description says those outcomes can trigger 50-50 settlement.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →