Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.5M
- 24h volume
- $1.5M
- Liquidity
- $3.6M
- Open interest
- $527K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (12)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
FaZe and Vitality will compete in a Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal 2 match at IEM Atlanta on 13 May 2026, scheduled for 11:30 AM ET. The winner advances in the tournament bracket; the loser is eliminated. The match is a best-of-three series, meaning the first team to win two maps claims victory. Both organisations field rosters competing at the highest level of professional Counter-Strike 2 competition.
The 0% implied probability reflects either a technical market state or genuine uncertainty about match execution rather than certainty of cancellation. Comparable esports prediction markets on major tournaments typically show non-zero probabilities for both competitors unless one team has formally withdrawn. Historical precedent suggests IEM events proceed as scheduled; however, unforeseen circumstances—player illness, visa delays, or technical infrastructure failures—have occasionally forced rescheduling in professional esports. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches provides buffer against minor scheduling shifts, though resolution to 50-50 occurs only if no winner is determined within that window.
Traders should monitor official IEM Atlanta communications and both teams' rosters for last-minute roster changes or player availability announcements in the days preceding the match. FaZe and Vitality's recent performance at qualifying events and head-to-head records inform baseline expectations. The tournament bracket structure itself matters: which teams advance from earlier rounds determines seeding and momentum entering this semifinal. Any official statement from ESL or the teams regarding participation status would materially affect market conditions before the settlement window closes on 13 May at 21:30 UTC.
Wikipedia Context
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Counter-Strike (video game)Counter-Strike is a 2000 tactical first-person shooter game developed by Valve Corporation and published by Sierra Studios. It is the first installment in the Counter-Strike series.
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Counter-Strike: Malvinas
Counter-Strike: Malvinas is an unofficial multiplayer video game map for Counter-Strike: Source, developed and distributed by Argentinian web hosting company Dattatec. The map was released on March 4, 2013 and was created using the Source game engine. The map is set in Stanley, the capital of the Falkland Islands, and revolves around a group of Argentine spe
Methodology
This overview of Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for PolyGram?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. PolyGram exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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