Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Utrecht | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FC Utrecht and SC Heerenveen have already played their Eredivisie playoff tie, with Utrecht winning 3-2 at Stadion Galgenwaard on 21 May 2026. That makes the current 100% YES probability a function of market settlement rather than sporting uncertainty: when the underlying fixture has a confirmed final score from the cited match reports, the remaining issue is whether the market’s resolution rules track the official result within the settlement window. In comparable football markets, near-certain prices usually reflect either an event that has effectively been decided or a resolution standard that is already met by published full-time data.
For access and compliance, the relevant comparison is not the match itself but the platform structure around it. Under Germany’s GlüStV, sports-betting style products can face strict advertising, licensing, and availability limits, so a user’s ability to view or trade a similar event may depend on jurisdiction and local geofencing. In the US, CFTC scrutiny matters because event contracts can draw derivatives-style attention if they resemble binary outcome products. By contrast, “no-KYC up to $1,500” means smaller-value participation can typically be entered without full identity verification, which lowers friction for casual access to a market like this, while larger balances or withdrawals may trigger checks.
The main catalysts to watch on a live market of this type are official competition confirmations, any correction to the published final score, and the exact wording of the settlement rule against the 19:00:00Z window. ESPN’s live score and final report both show the match ending 3-2, which is the key factual anchor; if a correction were ever issued by the competition or statistical feed, that would matter more than any pre-match preview.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →