Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Utrecht (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Utrecht (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
FC Utrecht host SC Heerenveen in an Eredivisie knockout fixture at Stadion Galgenwaard, with the market's current 0% YES showing traders are not pricing in any agreed “more markets” outcome yet. That should be read against the broader match context rather than as a view on the football itself: Utrecht have been strong at home and unbeaten in six consecutive home league matches in the data cited above, while head-to-head results are tilted in their favour over the longer run. Comparable match markets on this game have leaned towards Utrecht elsewhere, but “more markets” is a different settlement question, so the key issue is whether any additional qualifying event is actually triggered before the 19:00 UTC window closes.
For accessibility, the regulatory overlay matters. Under Germany’s GlüStV, online gambling products are tightly constrained and can face geo-blocking or licensing restrictions, which is relevant for users attempting to access a prediction market tied to a sports event rather than a conventional bookmaker line. In the US, CFTC reach can still matter where a product is treated as a derivatives-style event market and offered to US persons. A “no-KYC up to $1,500” threshold usually means a user can transact below that cumulative limit with lighter identity checks, but it does not remove geographic or sanctions screening, and it may affect how quickly a trader can participate if limits are reached.
Catalysts are practical rather than statistical: the match start time, any late team news, referee or venue changes, and whether the market operator has clarified the exact definition of “more markets” before kickoff. FotMob and Sofascore list the fixture for 21 May 2026 at 19:00 UTC, while recent previews from Whoscored and betting sites describe Utrecht as the form side. If the market depends on ancillary listings, settlement rules, or any pre-match expansion of the offer, those announcements will matter more than the headline 1x2 favourite.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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