Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket KYC UK Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket KYC UK.
Active sub-markets
| Jordan (-1.5) | 1% Jordan | 100% Colombia |
| Colombia (-1.5) | 62% Colombia | 39% Jordan |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 1% Jordan | 100% Colombia |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 30% Colombia | 71% Jordan |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 84% Over | 17% Under |
Market context
Jordan will face Colombia in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The 1% implied probability for "More Markets" reflects trader expectation that additional betting markets on this fixture will not materialise before settlement closes on 7 June at 23:00 UTC. The underlying match itself is confirmed; the question concerns whether supplementary markets—such as exact scorelines, player performance props, or half-time outcomes—will be listed on this platform within the window.
Historical precedent suggests friendly matches between lower-ranked nations attract limited market expansion. When Jordan and comparable confederations have featured in friendlies, platforms typically restrict offerings to core match outcomes rather than granular derivatives. The current probability aligns with this pattern: most prediction markets consolidate friendlies into single binary contracts rather than branching into multiple related instruments. Comparable fixtures in 2024 and 2025 saw similar low probabilities for secondary market creation, with settlement occurring without additional products launching.
Traders monitoring this contract should track platform announcements and fixture confirmation closer to June. The CFTC's reach into US-based prediction markets, combined with German GlüStV regulations affecting EU accessibility, may influence whether operators expand offerings on lower-profile friendlies. For users in jurisdictions permitting no-KYC trading up to £1,000 (approximately $1,500), this market's accessibility depends on whether additional markets trigger enhanced compliance requirements. Match postponement or cancellation would also affect settlement, though FIFA scheduling for 2026 qualifiers remains stable. Confirmation of squad announcements typically occurs 7–10 days before kick-off.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $322K.
Methodology
This page reviews Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket KYC UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket KYC UK?
- Zero. Polymarket KYC UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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