Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket KYC UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 98% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots | 95% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots | 72% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots | 65% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots | 55% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 52% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots | 52% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Yahia Fofana: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Egil Selvik: 2+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 5+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 3+ saves | 47% |
| Egil Selvik: 4+ saves | 47% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 44% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 29% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 28% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals | 24% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists | 23% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ assists | 23% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ assists | 23% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ assists | 22% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ assists | 22% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 20% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ assists | 18% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assists | 14% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 13% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals | 11% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 9% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals | 9% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals | 7% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 7% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals | 7% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 7% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals | 4% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals | 4% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals | 4% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 4% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, côte d'ivoire vs. norway - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This overview of Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket KYC UK has a different geo footprint.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket KYC UK stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket KYC UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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