Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket KYC UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket KYC UK.
Active sub-markets
| Chandler Blanchet | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kensei Hirata | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Paul Peterson | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Davis Riley | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| John Vanderlaan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Joel Dahmen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, held annually at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, represents one of the PGA Tour's longest-running events. The tournament typically draws a field of 132 players competing over 72 holes, with the winner determined by stroke play under standard PGA Tour rules. The event's May scheduling places it within the Tour's regular season, making it accessible to most elite professionals. Settlement occurs at the conclusion of the tournament on or before 31 May 2026.
Current market pricing at 0% reflects either an unlisted player being favoured or genuine uncertainty about field composition at this temporal distance. Historical Charles Schwab Challenge outcomes show no dominant favourite pattern; winners since 2020 have ranged from established names to mid-tier competitors, suggesting field depth matters considerably. The tournament's consistent format and venue stability mean comparable historical data remains relevant for assessing probability distributions across potential winners.
Traders should monitor PGA Tour injury announcements and schedule confirmations through late 2025 and early 2026. The Tour's official field announcements typically occur four weeks before the event. Recent reporting from Golf Channel and PGA Tour communications indicates no scheduling conflicts with other major events during this window. Eligibility depends on maintaining Tour membership status and meeting entry criteria; any listed player's suspension or retirement would trigger immediate market resolution to "No" for that selection. The no-KYC threshold of £1,500 applies to this market under UK regulations, whilst German GlüStV rules permit participation for residents meeting their jurisdiction's requirements. US CFTC oversight extends to certain derivative structures but does not restrict individual participation in prediction markets of this type.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $240K.
Methodology
This page reviews PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Winner across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket KYC UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket KYC UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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