Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Alexander Zverev’s Halle match is framed by a fast-moving ATP 500 grass-court schedule in Germany, with the tournament running from 15 to 21 June and Zverev listed on the Friday order of play. The current 0% YES price implies the market is treating a Zverev advance as effectively absent or already dead, but that sort of reading can be distorted when fixtures shift, walkovers are recorded, or the draw is updated late in the day.[2][5]

Comparable Halle markets often move sharply on order-of-play releases, withdrawal notices, and any confirmation that a player has retired or the match has been postponed, because the settlement rules here also contemplate a 50-50 outcome if the match is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. On the regulatory side, a German GlüStV lens matters because Halle is a German sporting event and local gambling rules can affect how event-linked products are viewed, while the US CFTC position remains relevant where a platform offers sports-event contracts to US users.[1][5]

For accessibility, “no-KYC up to $1,500” means a trader can usually interact with the market without full identity verification until cumulative activity crosses that threshold, which lowers the entry barrier but does not change the settlement mechanics. The practical catalysts are the ATP’s live schedule, any late withdrawal or medical timeout news, and whether the match starts on time; the ATP’s schedule page places Zverev on Friday’s card, so any delay or rescheduling should be read against that official order of play rather than the original 7:00 AM ET listing.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.