Switzerland vs. Canada - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup fixture between Switzerland and Canada, set for 3:00 PM ET on June 24, 2026, will determine the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. This specific match is the underlying real-world event driving the prediction market, where the current crowd-implied probability for an "Exact Score" outcome sits at 10% YES.

Historical precedents from Switzerland’s twelve World Cup appearances, including three quarter-final runs, suggest a disciplined defensive structure that often limits high-scoring outcomes, framing the current 10% probability as a conservative but plausible assessment for a specific exact score[6]. Recent head-to-head data shows Switzerland averaging 2.0 points per match with only 0.8 opponent points, indicating a tight contest where specific exact scores are statistically less frequent than in more open games[2].

Traders should monitor the official line-ups and pre-game training reports released today, as squad availability directly influences scoring dynamics[4][7]. The over/under 2.5 goals market is currently priced with odds favouring the under, suggesting a low-scoring affair that makes any specific exact score a higher-risk proposition[1]. Additionally, regulatory frameworks like the German GlüStV and US CFTC reach define the accessibility of this market, where the "no-KYC up to $1,500" threshold allows retail participants to engage without immediate identity verification, provided they remain within that limit.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket KYC UK?

Zero. Polymarket KYC UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.