New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Mets played the Phillies in Philadelphia on 20 June, with the market set to resolve on the official final result after any extra innings, postponement, or make-up-game scenario. The quoted **98% YES** crowd view therefore reflects a strong expectation of a Mets win, but the settlement mechanics mean only the completed MLB result matters for resolution. [1][2][3]

That pricing sits in line with how short-dated baseball moneyline markets often behave when one side has both a clearer on-field edge and a live game already underway or recently finished in public scoreboards; here, the available boxscore and live-coverage listings show the contest as an actual MLB game rather than a hypothetical listing, which reduces ambiguity around settlement but not around the score itself. For regulatory context, a German-facing reader should note that the **GlüStV** framework is concerned with access to gambling products and local compliance, while US commodity-style oversight by the **CFTC** does not automatically make a politically or sports-linked event market freely available in every jurisdiction. [2][3][7]

On accessibility, “**no-KYC up to $1,500**” usually means a user can reach that cumulative activity threshold before identity verification is triggered, but it does not override geoblocking, sanctions screening, or local betting restrictions. For this specific market, the practical catalysts are simple: whether the official MLB result stands unchanged, whether any suspension or postponement requires completion before the window closes on 27 June, and whether the game state ever becomes a listed tie or cancellation, which would force the 50-50 fallback rather than a team win. [1][4][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket KYC UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.