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Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $421K Closes: 26 May 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

O/U 10.50% YES100% NO
O/U 11.50% YES100% NO
O/U 5.5100% YES0% NO
O/U 6.5100% YES0% NO
O/U 9.50% YES100% NO
Spread -1.5100% YES0% NO

Market context

Boston and Kansas City are scheduled to meet again in the Red Sox–Royals series at Kauffman Stadium, with the market still open pending the completed game outcome. The current crowd-implied 0% YES price points to a market that is effectively treating Boston as unavailable at this stage, which is unusual for a one-game MLB result and may reflect stale pricing rather than a live assessment. On the legal side, Polymarket-style access is typically shaped by where the user is located and onboarded: German residents can face GlüStV restrictions on sports prediction-market participation, while the US CFTC framework remains relevant to market design and enforcement reach. A “no-KYC up to $1,500” setup usually means small-scale access can be opened with lighter identity checks, but higher limits, withdrawals, or jurisdictional screening may still trigger full verification.

Recent comparable results frame the game as competitive rather than one-sided. MLB.com reported that Boston beat Kansas City 9-5 on Monday, with Jarren Duran driving in three runs, and noted the Red Sox were 3-1 against the Royals this season at that point. That kind of head-to-head edge matters in compact series pricing because one win can swing the season tiebreaker, but it does not guarantee the next result. For traders, the main catalysts are the official starting line-ups, pitching assignment, and any late injury or weather updates before first pitch, since postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the fixture is delayed or rescheduled, settlement can be pushed out to the make-up game, while a cancelled game or tie would resolve 50-50 under the market rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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