Knicks vs. 76ers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The New York Knicks will face the Philadelphia 76ers on 10 May at 3:30 PM ET in what the market implies is a closely matched contest, with the crowd assigning 53% probability to a Knicks victory. This timing places the game during the NBA's playoff window, when both teams' roster availability and form fluctuate considerably. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on the same day, allowing roughly six hours post-game for final score confirmation and market resolution.

Historical matchups between these franchises show competitive balance, though seasonal context matters substantially. The Knicks' recent playoff performances have hinged on perimeter shooting consistency and defensive intensity, whilst the 76ers' outcomes depend heavily on Joel Embiid's fitness and availability. The current 53% probability reflects uncertainty around these variables rather than a decisive favourite. Comparable playoff series in prior seasons have seen probabilities shift sharply following injury announcements or back-to-back game scheduling, suggesting the crowd's assessment remains fluid.

From a regulatory standpoint, this market's accessibility varies by jurisdiction. Under German GlüStV provisions, sports prediction markets require specific licensing; traders in Germany should verify their platform's authorisation. US CFTC oversight of prediction markets remains limited for sports outcomes, though platforms operating in US territory must comply with state-level gambling regulations. The "no-KYC up to $1,500" threshold commonly referenced in crypto prediction markets does not apply uniformly here; most regulated sports books require identity verification regardless of stake size. Traders should confirm their platform's compliance status and personal jurisdiction before placing positions.

Methodology

This page reviews Knicks vs. 76ers across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.