UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Tommy Gantt is scheduled to face Artur Minev in a lightweight prelim at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa, with settlement based on the UFC’s official winner declaration. A 100% YES crowd price leaves little room for uncertainty, but the fight itself still depends on the bout actually taking place and being scored. In previous UFC markets, especially on prelims, the main risks have been late withdrawals, weight issues, or a no contest rather than a straightforward upset. That matters here because the contract also resolves 50-50 if the bout is cancelled, postponed beyond 30 May, or ends without an official winner.

The regulatory frame is also relevant to access. In Germany, betting-style products can sit within GlüStV constraints, so availability may be limited by platform structure and local compliance checks. In the US, CFTC oversight can apply to event contracts depending on venue and offering, which is why exchange rules and state access controls matter. “No-KYC up to $1,500” generally means a user can trade or withdraw within that ceiling without full identity verification, which may make this market easier to access for small positions, but it does not remove the need for platform eligibility or jurisdictional checks.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: final bout confirmation, official weigh-in results, and any last-minute card changes from the UFC or the promotion’s broadcast partners. The most recent pre-fight preview coverage has treated Gantt as the more established wrestler and Minev as the debuting threat, but that is secondary to whether the contest remains on the card and reaches the scorecards or a finish. With resolution tied only to the official UFC call, any delay in announcement or fight-night disruption is the main thing to watch.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.