Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket KYC UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket KYC UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket KYC UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast Gaming’s next upload is the underlying event, and this market resolves on its first 24-hour view count once that video appears. The channel currently states a public cadence of “new MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming video every single Saturday at noon eastern time”, which is useful only as a guide because the market’s own deadline extends to 30 June 2026 if no upload arrives before then.[3]
The current **0% YES** crowd view is easiest to read against MrBeast’s broader upload behaviour: his main channel can still deliver extremely large first-day numbers, with some flagship videos reaching well into the hundreds of millions of views, but the gaming channel is much less predictable and has had long gaps between uploads in community discussion and scheduling archives.[8][5] In practical terms, that means a low probability price is usually a statement about *timing risk* as much as audience demand: if the next gaming upload is delayed, the market can still settle to the lowest range bracket by rule. For traders in Germany, that timing sensitivity matters because the German GlüStV framework is stricter on gambling-style access, while US CFTC reach is a separate issue for platforms with US-facing users; neither changes the YouTube view count, but both affect who can access the market and under what conditions.
What to watch now is whether MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming posts any dated announcement, scheduled premiere, or cross-channel teaser, especially around the stated Saturday cadence.[3] Any upload that lands on a weekend can still convert into a large 24-hour total quickly, particularly if it is a major format video rather than a smaller gaming upload. For accessibility, “no-KYC up to $1,500” in this context means a user can generally participate without identity verification until cumulative activity reaches that threshold, which lowers friction for smaller positions but does not alter the market’s resolution source or the regulatory perimeter that applies to the platform.
Methodology
This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket KYC UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket KYC UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? on Polymarket KYC UK
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