Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any result not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." The 0% crowd probability reflects the specificity required: predicting an exact scoreline is inherently difficult, and both teams' qualifying records and recent form suggest a range of plausible outcomes rather than consensus around a single result.

Historical precedent shows exact-score markets in football remain among the lowest-probability individual outcomes in prediction markets, even when one team is heavily favoured. Scotland qualified for the 2026 World Cup via UEFA playoffs and typically competes at a mid-tier level within European qualification; Haiti secured a berth through CONCACAF qualifying, where they finished fourth in their group. Head-to-head records are sparse, and comparative strength suggests Scotland enters as favourites, yet exact-score prediction requires alignment on both teams' attacking efficiency and defensive solidity—variables that shift with squad selection, injuries, and tactical adjustments announced closer to the tournament.

Traders should monitor squad announcements from both federations, expected in May 2026, and any late injury news affecting key players. Fixture congestion in the days before 13 June may influence team rotation and fatigue levels. Under German GlüStV and UK regulatory frameworks, this market remains accessible to UK traders; US CFTC reach typically applies to derivatives with cash settlement, though traders should verify their jurisdiction's stance. No-KYC thresholds up to £1,000 (approximately $1,500) apply to certain prediction market operators, though individual market limits and identity verification requirements vary by platform and settlement currency.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket KYC UK?

Zero. Polymarket KYC UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.