Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The halftime result market settles on the scoreline after 45 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. This particular fixture carries significant qualifying implications for both nations, with Scotland seeking to advance from their group and Haiti attempting to establish themselves as a competitive force in the tournament.

The 0% probability assigned to a Haiti halftime lead reflects historical performance gaps between the two sides. Scotland has competed in five World Cup tournaments since 1974 and maintains a substantially higher FIFA ranking; Haiti qualified for the 2026 tournament after a 32-year absence from the World Cup stage. Comparable halftime markets in recent tournaments show that underdogs rarely lead at the interval against established European sides—the probability typically correlates with pre-match expected goals differentials and possession patterns favourable to the stronger team. Scotland's defensive record and midfield control suggest they will likely dictate the opening 45 minutes.

Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates affecting Scotland's key midfielders and Haiti's attacking options. Weather conditions at the venue may influence early-game tempo and passing accuracy. The fixture scheduling—placed during the group stage—means both teams will have completed their previous matches, allowing full recovery and tactical preparation. Recent World Cup halftime markets have shown that opening-day matches sometimes produce tighter scorelines than expected, though Scotland's experience advantage typically manifests in controlled possession and limited concessions during the first half.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket KYC UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket KYC UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket KYC UK?

Zero. Polymarket KYC UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.